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leo-j said:

@HYUKEN

dude , sales for this week are the week ending DEC 20, the next week is the week ending DEC 27, so add 18.83M, plus the biggest week of the year, which is the current week we are in, lets say 600k, 19.43M.

NOW THERE ARE STILL 4 DAYS LEFT OF 2008, within those 4 days the ps3 can hit 20 million.

Which is why I am saying the week ending JAN 2 or 3, simply because vgchartz doesnt do daily figures.

All this talk of whether the PS3 will hit 20 millions before the end of 08 remind me of last year's talks of whether the Wii would hit 20 millions before the end of 07.

Leo, by your own logic the PS3 won't hit 20M in 08 as you peg it at 19.43M after its last full week so it would need 570k in the following 4 days to hit it. Even if we were to be generous with the beleaguered PS3 adn gave it the extra 3 days of 09 it still wouldn't be enough according to you as you are pegging this week as both the biggestweek of the year and at 600k. I think that sales history show that expecting only a 5% drop between christmas week and the week after that is highly unrealistic:

Firstly, last year's christmas week sales were less than the week before christmas due to only having two days in the week before christmas day but this year is likely to be different as there are 4 days of pre-christmas shopping. But even accepting arguendo your 600k estimate for christmas week there is still the problem that last year's drop between christmas week and the following week  was 25%/112k for the PS3, very far from the small 5%/30k needed for your prediction to pan out. Even the smallest drop in precentage, the PSP, sold 15% less so it is highly unrealistic to expect only a 5% drop between this week and next week. 



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