HappySqurriel on 25 March 2007
Shane said:
PS3 has to gain momentum before we can worry about it losing it, which will happen eventually. You don't go from first to worst overnight. Unless you release a system with carts. We're looking at least at a 6 year lifespan and then another year or two tacked on before it starts to fade. I do think the more interesting question is when it will gain momentum, and I would agree with fall. I don't think we'll see anything as abysmal as February, with slow buildup throughout the year, but too much more than 300k prior to October isn't likely (and frankly not particularly necessary either).
The problem wasn't cartridges ... The problem was using a technology (that was in some ways superior) which did not line-up with the gaming style that consumers wanted.
If the PS3 doesn't see a price cut expect to see it perform on a similar or worse level than February (in comparison to the Wii/XBox 360) for the rest of the year; certainly in Q4 the PS3 will sell a Million units in North America, but it is likely the XBox 360 will sell 2 Million and the Wii could sell 3 Million ...
