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Forums - Sales Discussion - September NPD 2019 thread

thismeintiel said:
LudicrousSpeed said:

I stopped reading at $1/year GamePass. You’re either wildly ignorant about GamePass or exaggerating greatly, either way not worth a serious reply.

So, he mixed up month for year. Big deal. Doesn't change the fact that the rest of his reply was true. Nice way to try and ignore it, though.

Oh sure, he “mixed it up”. Where’s that JLaw gif when you need it? 

Interesting that you say it’s a “fact” that the rest of his post is “true”. Reading it, just comes across as unsurprisingly negative twists and opinions. But hey I’m sure the guy who is like 0-7 or whatever on predicting no more Xbox hardware knows everything about their financials and expected revenue. My bad 😁



Replicant said:
Deeds said:

I guess you are somewhat new to this? I remember on neogaf people complaining about NPD restricting data (slowly but surely) long before the PS4 came out.

We still got leaks on a regular monthly basis though. First time I remember reading about NPD trying to stop leakers was in 2015 where Sony had zero reason to stop US numbers from leaking.

Mat Piscatella has started to communicate more with users through twitter revealing bits and pieces of information. It mostly come off as NPD promoting their services due to them discovering that they could charge money for something they used to reveal for free.

However, they do reveal the month's winner (which has been Nintendo a lot lately) and they don't hold back on praising impressive numbers and records (which has been about Nintendo a lot lately), so I'm not quite sold on the theory that NPD is paid to downplay Nintendo. If they are, Mat is doing a pretty bad job on twitter none the less.

Look, at the end of the day, NPD is trash when it comes to sales data. If one of the biggest players in the industry (Nintendo) doesnt share their sales data with you, your results are shit. Also, NPD uses revenue and not unit sales, so it skews the data even more. NPD is dead and irrelevant. The people who take them seriously are people who are in denial and stuck in the past. IMO, VGchartz is more reliable.



jason1637 said:
I saw 49 new replies and thought we got hardware numbers but its just consipitacy theories.

A consipitacy? What's that?



Hiku said:
Deeds said:

Their detailed analysis of sales data was behind a paywall, not the sales numbers itself. Hiding the sales numbers at the time they did it was suspicious. Who cares anyway, Media Create is now dead and irrelevant (they will not be missed) Everyone is looking at Famitsu.

I know. They have other data tied to their services. As does NPD, on top of the ones they provide for free (sales rankings).
Now their 'most accurate' sales data is tied to the rest. They built up that reputation, and get customers from it.

This may give an incentive for Famitsu to follow suit though.

I think it will, sadly. Up until three weeks ago, GFK/Ukie used to post the top 20 games in UK (even though it was just the ranking) for free, but now you need to have a membership to have access to it.



LudicrousSpeed said:
JRPGfan said:

NPD doesnt show how many played it via 1$ for a year, on gamepass.
However my thinking is, more than Xbox is probably comfortable with..... didnt buy the new Gears game, but played it via gamepass.

Xbox probably made huge losses on Gears (spending on production > sales + gamepass revenue generated).

Also apparently 5 weeks later on, its almost out of the top20 most played on xbox.
This is unusual for a Gears of War game, they usually have good legs, and staying power.... this one seems to have fizzled out quicker.

I stopped reading at $1/year GamePass. You’re either wildly ignorant about GamePass or exaggerating greatly, either way not worth a serious reply.

https://www.cnet.com/how-to/how-to-get-xbox-game-pass-for-free-for-up-to-three-years-ultimate-deal/

Here's how to save up to $360 on Xbox Game Pass over 3 years

If you follow these steps, you can turn your paid Xbox Live Gold subscription into up to 36 months of Xbox Game Pass Ultimate for $1.

^ title of CNN article.

And it works, Ive "heard" from youtube personalities, on the xbox side, that have used this trick.
Basically every xbox guy in the "know", out there has this.

So what I said that 1$ I ment it.

Your ignoreing me, because of something "real" that alot of people took advantage of?
What? what kinda twisted logic is that.



JRPGfan said:
LudicrousSpeed said:

I stopped reading at $1/year GamePass. You’re either wildly ignorant about GamePass or exaggerating greatly, either way not worth a serious reply.

https://www.cnet.com/how-to/how-to-get-xbox-game-pass-for-free-for-up-to-three-years-ultimate-deal/

Here's how to save up to $360 on Xbox Game Pass over 3 years

If you follow these steps, you can turn your paid Xbox Live Gold subscription into up to 36 months of Xbox Game Pass Ultimate for $1.

^ title of CNN article.

And it works, Ive "heard" from youtube personalities, on the xbox side, that have used this trick.
Basically every xbox guy in the "know", out there has this.

So what I said that 1$ I ment it.

Your ignoreing me, because of something "real" that alot of people took advantage of?
What? what kinda twisted logic is that.

Well for starters I’d question why you’re wasting time watching Xbox YT personalities. But you don’t need to speak of this promotion as if you have to be in a secret club or “in the know” to have taken advantage. Microsoft advertised it and promoted it on the dashboard. It was a phenomenal value especially if you had Gold anyway. Idk anyone who didn’t take advantage of it. I took advantage on two different consoles in my house.

But that’s not exactly a year of Gamepass for $1. Which is what your post made it seem like. It’s a month of Gamepass for $1 and then you can convert everything into Ultimate. 

I ignored the rest of your post because there’s no point arguing with someone who is coming from a place of pure ignorance on the matter. Plus actually reading it later, it’s just opinionated nonsense about Microsoft revenue disappointment. So you’re saying they ran this amazing promo but then are disappointed people used it? Interesting. Seems legit.



Deeds said:
jason1637 said:
I saw 49 new replies and thought we got hardware numbers but its just consipitacy theories.

A consipitacy? What's that?

Conspiracy is what I meant. Spellcheck changed it XD.



Deeds said:
Dulfite said:

Wait, are you suggesting Sony doesn't want data to be revealed showing how they are selling compared to Nintendo? And that Ps5 will sell less than Switch 1?

Just wanting clarification, not implying anything.

Yes and yes. First of all, the discussion about Sony "shutting down" NPD and Media create are not solely my idea. This has been discussed on Resetera and even Neogaf way back in the day. Second of all, even during the dark days of Wii U, Nintendo STILL showed sales data, unlike Microsoft who has gone radio silent on Xbox One hardware, and Sony going silent on the Vita sales. And I find it funny because it wont mean much in the end. Shutting up Media create did NOT save the PS4 in Japan. Being silent on Vita did not stop it from BOMBING. It also shows how pathetic and immature the leadership at Sony and Microsoft are.

Third of all I think the Switch is going to outsell the PS4 and the PS5 will sell LESS than the PS4. That's my prediction.

While I'm not sold on the idea of Sony being the cause for media going so private.... I agree with everything else. Nintendo has been quite forthcoming when it comes to sales numbers, even when they sucked absolute ass. They always put the numbers out there. Sony... Microsoft... as soon as a product of theirs doesnt lighte the world ablaze, go completely silent to the point that a site like this one has to try to come up with the numbers... and I've ALWAYS thought the vita is severely over tracked here, I think the thing has sat at around 12 or 13 million max... and the x1 too, low 40 millions... I also agree 100% that the ps5 will sell less than the ps4.... and the switch may outsell both..... COMBINED, all said and done. But..... having said all that, I just cant really convince myself that Sony is that concerned over the the ps4 or ps5 Japan sales to the point that they somehow silence a sales reporting firm.... why bother when famitsu still does and is basically the same exact shit.



JRPGfan said:
LudicrousSpeed said:

I stopped reading at $1/year GamePass. You’re either wildly ignorant about GamePass or exaggerating greatly, either way not worth a serious reply.

https://www.cnet.com/how-to/how-to-get-xbox-game-pass-for-free-for-up-to-three-years-ultimate-deal/

Here's how to save up to $360 on Xbox Game Pass over 3 years

If you follow these steps, you can turn your paid Xbox Live Gold subscription into up to 36 months of Xbox Game Pass Ultimate for $1.

^ title of CNN article.

And it works, Ive "heard" from youtube personalities, on the xbox side, that have used this trick.
Basically every xbox guy in the "know", out there has this.

So what I said that 1$ I ment it.

Your ignoreing me, because of something "real" that alot of people took advantage of?
What? what kinda twisted logic is that.

"Damn" I wish I'd have taken advantage of this "deal". That's a "steal" for such an amazing "bargain". I need to pay "more" attention to what's going on so I can "get" gamepass for "$1" for three years..... I have to "ask" though..... what's up with all the "quotation marks"? 



NPD= Narcissistic Personality Disorder