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Official 2020 US Election: Democratic Party Discussion

Forums - Politics Discussion - Official 2020 US Election: Democratic Party Discussion

MrWayne said:
cycycychris said:
Beto raised $6.1 million in the first 24 hours, which is higher than Bernie did

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/beto-o-rourke-raises-6-1-million-first-day-topping-n984266

Glad to see he is doing very well. Ultimately I think this race will come down to Beto vs Biden vs Bernie. I really hope Beto wins it, he has the charisma to be a Obama imo. Its sad seeing all the Bernie squad going full attack on him.

I think at least one woman will have a very good shot in the race, middle aged women are after all the biggest voter group for the democrats.

I actually have Harris currently as the 4th person in my rankings. She might ride real close to Beto, they are pretty similar imo. I think Warren is DOA and none of the other women candidates really have much of a chance imo. If Beto gets the nomination, I think we will see them pick someone like Harris. But I also think Klobuchar might get a lot looks due to her connection and popularity in the rust belt. Only negative is that she isn't well know elsewhere and not a POC (which is something I think a White male candidate will be looking for).

Overall, i can't right now see a women getting the nomination and I think Harris will be the one most likely of all the women candidates.



     

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Bernie/Tulsi would be my dream team. Yang is a distant third.

I hope Biden doesn't run, as he could steal it from Bernie for the more conservative Democrats.



By the way, I don't see a path to 270 for an unabashed progressive or uncharismatic candidate. I believe Hillary Clinton was much closer to the performance of the generic democrat than many give her credit for, and Trump now has the incumbency advantage. Unless the economy deteriorates significantly he'll likely take Ohio, Iowa and Florida. So the path for the Democratic Party grows thinner and will depend strongly on taking the Midwest and perhaps Arizona.



 

 

 

 

 

I hope a crazy MMTer wins so the dollar can die fast and countries dump it at a fast pace.



cycycychris said:
MrWayne said:

I think at least one woman will have a very good shot in the race, middle aged women are after all the biggest voter group for the democrats.

I actually have Harris currently as the 4th person in my rankings. She might ride real close to Beto, they are pretty similar imo. I think Warren is DOA and none of the other women candidates really have much of a chance imo. If Beto gets the nomination, I think we will see them pick someone like Harris. But I also think Klobuchar might get a lot looks due to her connection and popularity in the rust belt. Only negative is that she isn't well know elsewhere and not a POC (which is something I think a White male candidate will be looking for).

Overall, i can't right now see a women getting the nomination and I think Harris will be the one most likely of all the women candidates.

Tulsi has a decent amount of support but I agree, she hasn't really risen above Harris thus far. 

Overall, unless something major happens, It'll be Bernie vs Beto vs Biden (assuming Biden does follow through with what people keep saying is going to happen). 



Im rooting for Gabbard. I really like her anti war stances.



Pete Buttigieg seems like a cool guy. Can we have Buttigieg/Gabbard, just so the fundamentalists over here have a meltdown?



 

 

 

 

 

haxxiy said:

Pete Buttigieg seems like a cool guy. Can we have Buttigieg/Gabbard, just so the fundamentalists over here have a meltdown?

And he's getting pretty popular, too. At the latest Iowa caucus poll, he jumped from 1 to 11% of the votes. Main Victims were Beto and Klobuchar.



Bofferbrauer2 said:
haxxiy said:

Pete Buttigieg seems like a cool guy. Can we have Buttigieg/Gabbard, just so the fundamentalists over here have a meltdown?

And he's getting pretty popular, too. At the latest Iowa caucus poll, he jumped from 1 to 11% of the votes. Main Victims were Beto and Klobuchar.

Well, he's technically tied with Beto since the margin of error was about 6% on that one. We'll need more to confirm it wasn't a fluke, since the very large polls (10,000+ people sampled) still have him at 1% nationally (and there was a statewide one with him at 3% somewhere?).



 

 

 

 

 

These Primaries are really getting crowded now. Who do you guys think will drop out in the near future?

My expectations are that Delaney and Gillibrand will drop out soon, as they are consistently among the last in the polls and lack a clear profile.

haxxiy said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

And he's getting pretty popular, too. At the latest Iowa caucus poll, he jumped from 1 to 11% of the votes. Main Victims were Beto and Klobuchar.

Well, he's technically tied with Beto since the margin of error was about 6% on that one. We'll need more to confirm it wasn't a fluke, since the very large polls (10,000+ people sampled) still have him at 1% nationally (and there was a statewide one with him at 3% somewhere?).

Well, at the latest Morning Consult poll (think that's those 10k+ samples you're talking about) he went up... but only from 1% to 2%. It's still an increase, though.