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Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4/XBO/NS - 2018 vs. 2019 - Week 52 Numbers Added; Final 2019 Totals

jonathanalis said:
Seems that switch sold 1 million more than it shipped in Jan to Mar.

I have no idea who is this guy, I don't know how he can know such a thing. I just though it was a little bit interesting to show it :



Week 16 Numbers have just been added and the PS4 just hit the '1 million' mark of being down YoY. Thanks in large part to this week being when God of War released last year.



SpokenTruth said:
I wonder if this trend will carry on all year. PS4 and XBO are down every single week this year and Switch is up every single week this year.

Well, if the PS4 is only supposed to drop by 2M in this FY, then Sony has to do something to slow it down, and slow it down a lot I think. Because at the current rate, 14M would be a much more realistic target.



Bofferbrauer2 said:
SpokenTruth said:
I wonder if this trend will carry on all year. PS4 and XBO are down every single week this year and Switch is up every single week this year.

Well, if the PS4 is only supposed to drop by 2M in this FY, then Sony has to do something to slow it down, and slow it down a lot I think. Because at the current rate, 14M would be a much more realistic target.

The thing is though, those calculations don't and can't take a possible PS5/neXtbox reveal into consideration. Even if a super slim is announced and one SAD released, PS5 and neXtbox may well negate it.


Please remember... They are 6 years old.



Bofferbrauer2 said:
SpokenTruth said:
I wonder if this trend will carry on all year. PS4 and XBO are down every single week this year and Switch is up every single week this year.

Well, if the PS4 is only supposed to drop by 2M in this FY, then Sony has to do something to slow it down, and slow it down a lot I think. Because at the current rate, 14M would be a much more realistic target.

My thoughts as well, something needs to happen as it seems both USA and Japan are dropping quite a bit.

Something has to be up their sleeves for 2019. TloU2 might be the game, and a super slim might be the system that makes them reach their goal.  



ironmanDX said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Well, if the PS4 is only supposed to drop by 2M in this FY, then Sony has to do something to slow it down, and slow it down a lot I think. Because at the current rate, 14M would be a much more realistic target.

The thing is though, those calculations don't and can't take a possible PS5/neXtbox reveal into consideration. Even if a super slim is announced and one SAD released, PS5 and neXtbox may well negate it.


Please remember... They are 6 years old.

Well actually, since the 16M were an announcement for Shareholders, they have to been taken into consideration - or more precisely, the lack thereof this year. If they would announce the PS5 this year already, then the sales would plummet, and Sony would have been forced to cut the sales target, which in turn would make their share price plummet. And that's something they can't afford to do.

Mbolibombo said:
Bofferbrauer2 said:

Well, if the PS4 is only supposed to drop by 2M in this FY, then Sony has to do something to slow it down, and slow it down a lot I think. Because at the current rate, 14M would be a much more realistic target.

My thoughts as well, something needs to happen as it seems both USA and Japan are dropping quite a bit.

Something has to be up their sleeves for 2019. TloU2 might be the game, and a super slim might be the system that makes them reach their goal.  

Yeah, Pricecut, Superslim, and TLOU2 are pretty much the necessary trinity to keep the sales at 16M for this FY. Let's see what new stuff they announce around E3 (since Sony won't attend E3 this year) and see how it plays out.



Just added Week 17 Numbers



Switch probably next week above 1M lead, nice!

And seeing how fast the PS4 is falling behind now, it's kinda hard to see how they want to limit the losses to just 2 millions. A superslim and a pricedrop will be needed very soon to stop the drop.



If thinks keep going like this.... then 2019 will be like :

NSW ~19m
PS4 ~14m
XB1 ~5m



JRPGfan said:
If thinks keep going like this.... then 2019 will be like :

NSW ~19m
PS4 ~14m
XB1 ~5m

I agree on PS4 and XBO, but I think Switch is a bit low.

The console had quite a few notable releases during the first half of 2018, and yet it's getting beaten each week by some 50k margin (give or take) in sales. However, the second half was pretty barren until PLG and SSBU late last year.

This year is the other way around with Summer and Fall stoked with big releases, both from Nintendo and 3rd party publishers. Which tells me that the gap in weekly sales will grow starting with Mario Maker 2. The current trend alone already says more something like 20M, so I expect this year to break that barrier.