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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - Does Nintendo Have a Scheduling Problem for 2019?

 

Which Game Do You Thing Will Most Likely Slip Into 2020?

Zelda: Link's Awakening 2 3.03%
 
Animal Crossing 9 13.64%
 
Luigi's Mansion 3 6 9.09%
 
Town 21 31.82%
 
Pokemon 8 12.12%
 
None 20 30.30%
 
Total:66

I mean PS4 has multiple third and 1st partt games releasing per month why cant switch? Its not like say Animal crossing and something like Fire Emblem are aimed at the same market is it?



An even spread would be nicer but think of how many big titles launch on PS4 in one month. It really is ok to have 2 big hitters launch alongside each other provided they're competing the same genre (Pokemon & Fire Emblem for example).

But I really don't think Pokemon is a given for 2019...



I think it will look something like this

June - Mario maker 2

July/August - Fire Emblem, Daemon X Machina, Astral Chain*
September - Luigi's Mansion
Oct/Nov/Dec - Animal Crossing*,  Town*, Pokemon, Zelda

I put * next to the games that might get pushed back.  Town is the most likely, while Pokemon will definitely come out this year.  Gamefreak will take people off of Town to release Pokemon on time.  Pokemon is still the most important release Nintendo will have this year.  Astral Chain is the next most likely.  This game has come out of nowhere and Platinum games is also working on Bayonetta 3.  It might get pushed back.  Finally, I think there is a greater than 50% chance that Animal Crossing will come out this year, but it has a chance of getting pushed back.  They are going to make sure this game comes out complete and flawless, and they can get away with pushing it back since they already have such a strong 2nd half.  Still, I think AC will most likely come out this year anyway.



Spring is looking a bit bare while Summer/Fall is looking almost stacked to the point where I expect some delays to avoid certain games getting lost in the shuffle.

If Fire Emblem & Daemon X Machina were Spring than it would basically fix everything.

Jan-New Super Mario Deluxe
March-Yoshi's Crafted World
April-Daemon X Machina
May-Fire Emblem: Three Houses
June-Super Mario Maker 2
July-Marvel Ultimate Alliance 3
August-Astral Chain
September-Animal Crossing
Octover-Luigi's Mansion 3
November-Pokemon Gen 8
December-Zelda: Link's Awakening

That would be such a well paced year but sadly FE & DxM are Summer instead of Spring.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

second half is stacked, one of these 3 will get delayed

-Animal Crossing
-Luigi's Mansion
-Pokemon



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I voted for Town. Either Pokemon or that will launch this year, and the other one next year. I don't think they will wait to launch Pokemon, especially if they are using assets/engine from Let's Go. However, if they feel Animal Crossing is going to be megaton then they could possibly wait, unless AC launches earlier in the year by a few months. Overall, I think Town will be the most likely pushed back.

But yes, I agree this year is almost too stacked, especially considering the Switch keeps getting more and more indie gems as well as the 10,000,000 Final Fantasy games that will be launching on it this year. I think, after this 2019 year is said and done, my backlog will be far larger than it is currently, despite my best efforts to play and beat games.



I think everything is going to make its 2019 release date. I know some people are disappointed with the lack of a big Nintendo release for early 2019, But that's really nothing new for Nintendo. They've never really focused on releasing big games during that period, most of their major titles for the year come in the later half as that's the period where Nintendo makes most of their sales. A lot of people forget that Nintendo often sits on finished games purely for strategic purposes. NSMBU DX for example has been completed for months, but was held back so that Nintendo could have a notable January release, and to get out of Smash Bros. way.



It’s interesting that we consider the scheduling for all these games a problem when Steam, PS4, and Xbone get as many games, if not more, and all within certain quarters.

As I mentioned before, Nintendo are probably thinking that having a relatively bare Spring quarter (if you think it’s bare) for stacked Summer and Fall quarters leading up to the holidays. During the holidays, they already make more than half of their revenue around that time, at least in the Americas.

But things can happen such as delays. Unfortunately, Fire Emblem Three Houses needs more time and couldn’t make the Spring release.



People should keep in mind that Town and Pokemon are Gamefreak, and while Nintendo has a lot of control over the games they publish/IP they own, I think Gamefreak gets a little bit more control over their releases. I don't think Town is necessarily delayed just because it hasn't been shown. I can see it being at E3. And if it does come out this year, that confirms, unfortunately, that it's most likely a very small game in terms of marketing and importance. Which sucks because I was hoping it would be kind of like the next Splatoon. Still, I COULD see a delay

I also have no idea why people think that Pokemon or Animal Crossing or Luigi's Mansion have to be delayed. Is it just because they announced a bunch of new games last direct? I mean ... maybe it would be smart to push one of the bigger titles into next year, since they're dumping so many games on us this year. But honestly, 2D Zelda, Mario Maker, and Astral Chain are *not* a replacement for any of those games. Not even Luigi's Mansion. Don't get me wrong, they'll sell a lot of software and we will see pretty decent hardware bumps during that time. I could even see Mario Maker and Link's Awakening selling a lot of Switch's. But I don't think they can replace those other games in terms of selling hardware, and Mario Maker 2 is coming out in June anyways, months before those other games will come out, so even if it's a big system seller it can't really replace them in the lineup. 

It's kind of sad ... it's like the concept of this thread is basically admitting that this year is too good, and that we have to downgrade it because Nintendo doesn't have the resources to make the next year as good in order to keep Switch momentum up. That is, in theory, potentially true. It's just really not something I want to think about. I don't think we should have to spread out titles that were announced for this year just to cover for the lack of potential games next year. 

I also think that Nintendo might be planning for 2020 to be sort of like 2018. In that case, they really don't need to delay games into next year, even if it's looking plausible. If they have a Generation 4 Pokemon remake, a new 3D Mario game, and possibly even a new 3D Zelda, or other big surprises, then yeah. We won't really need to push games into next year to keep Switch's momentum up, especially since the price will be lower, there will be a revision, and it will still be selling of it's back catalog. 



I think the second half is very exciting.