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Forums - Sales Discussion - Global Hardware 26 January 2019 (RE2 Week)

Interesting numbers. Kingdom Hearts had a major effect in Japan, causing the PS4 and Switch to be neck and neck. I would have expected that RE2 would have caused a greater boost for PS4 in the west. Maybe KH overshadowed RE2 and we'll see a bigger boost in next week's numbers.



Glad to see a leadership week for PS4. It'll become rarer this year while NSW has all the chance to peak.



God bless You.

My Total Sales prediction for PS4 by the end of 2021: 110m+

When PS4 will hit 100m consoles sold: Before Christmas 2019

There were three ravens sat on a tree / They were as blacke as they might be / The one of them said to his mate, Where shall we our breakfast take?


RaptorChrist said:
Interesting numbers. Kingdom Hearts had a major effect in Japan, causing the PS4 and Switch to be neck and neck. I would have expected that RE2 would have caused a greater boost for PS4 in the west. Maybe KH overshadowed RE2 and we'll see a bigger boost in next week's numbers.

Possibly - but since the boost from Japan already applies to this week, I'd say it won't be much higher than what the PS4 got this week.

Since the Switch rebounded quite a bit in Japan after that week, it's even possible the gap might be slightly smaller



Now i see that Switch has been adjusted down to 16'3M in 2018 and 29'5M sold lifetime (by the end of the year). So now i'm completely spot on what i expected back in December for Switch. Even after adjustments were made, i knew there was needed even more, because if Switch was going to sell more than 1M in January, it was really difficult to believe Switch was at 30'8 or 30'9M by the end of the month after Nitendo saying "surpassed 30M by end of January" but i didn't want to nitpick or insist anymore because the adjustment at least was more closer now to reality, but new numbers are still apreciated by my part.

PS4 with 18'0M sold in 2018, won, by a confortable margin to Switch with 16'3M, something that most people did not expected at all 12 months ago. And now we are going to be in a similar situation again in 2019, with people expecting too much for Switch and too little for PS4. Knowing Switch sold to consumers around 13'2M in 2017 and 16'3M in 2018, i'm pretty confident Switch is going to be around 17'5M and PS4 is probably going to be around 16M, more or less (it depends if price cuts are made).

What i'm pretty sure is that we are going to hear a lot during first half of the year how hardware sales are disappointing for each console, specially in NPD reports. Doom and gloom is coming (like every 5 or 6 years....).



I was asking myself what our PS4 over the top in Japan. Then I read the headline and it became clear. The race is now between 2 consoles. For year I mean.



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A mouse & keyboard are made for sending email and typing internet badassery. Not for playing video games!!!

Thank you for the estimations.



FentonCrackshell said:
The race is now between 2 consoles. For year I mean.

I think sales between PS4 & NSW will remain pretty competitive for most of the year. During the holidays is when Switch will really start outpacing PS4 by a significant degree. Both will sell great.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
FentonCrackshell said:
The race is now between 2 consoles. For year I mean.

I think sales between PS4 & NSW will remain pretty competitive for most of the year. During the holidays is when Switch will really start outpacing PS4 by a significant degree. Both will sell great.

Though if the NPD prediction thread is any indication, then in Europe and RoW the PS4 need to outsell the Switch by a very large margin to keep up, as it seems the PS4 is tanking now in the US and is far behind in Japan



Bofferbrauer2 said:
zorg1000 said:

I think sales between PS4 & NSW will remain pretty competitive for most of the year. During the holidays is when Switch will really start outpacing PS4 by a significant degree. Both will sell great.

Though if the NPD prediction thread is any indication, then in Europe and RoW the PS4 need to outsell the Switch by a very large margin to keep up, as it seems the PS4 is tanking now in the US and is far behind in Japan

I dont really put much stock in the NPD prediction tool, it's a nice addition to the site but I'm not going to base any predictions off of it.

But yes most weeks will be Switch winning in US+Japan and PS4 winning in EU+RotW. I think Switch will be ahead more often than not but sales will be very competitive.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

colafitte said:

Now i see that Switch has been adjusted down to 16'3M in 2018 and 29'5M sold lifetime (by the end of the year). So now i'm completely spot on what i expected back in December for Switch. Even after adjustments were made, i knew there was needed even more, because if Switch was going to sell more than 1M in January, it was really difficult to believe Switch was at 30'8 or 30'9M by the end of the month after Nitendo saying "surpassed 30M by end of January" but i didn't want to nitpick or insist anymore because the adjustment at least was more closer now to reality, but new numbers are still apreciated by my part.

PS4 with 18'0M sold in 2018, won, by a confortable margin to Switch with 16'3M, something that most people did not expected at all 12 months ago. And now we are going to be in a similar situation again in 2019, with people expecting too much for Switch and too little for PS4. Knowing Switch sold to consumers around 13'2M in 2017 and 16'3M in 2018, i'm pretty confident Switch is going to be around 17'5M and PS4 is probably going to be around 16M, more or less (it depends if price cuts are made).

What i'm pretty sure is that we are going to hear a lot during first half of the year how hardware sales are disappointing for each console, specially in NPD reports. Doom and gloom is coming (like every 5 or 6 years....).

The switch actually has games from June to the end of the year this year. I don’t think anyone expecting more than 17.5 million is expecting too much