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Forums - Sales Discussion - Nintendo Switch sold 14.49 million from Apr-Dec 2018. Apr-18 - Mar-19 Forecast 17 million

RaptorChrist said:
gemini_d@rk said:
Taking into account the rapid life cycles of nintendo consoles, we will see the peak between this year and next year, and then begin the falls.

Sad, but probably true.

Especially when PS5 / Nextbox launch



Train wreck said:
pastro243 said:

Do you know when are we getting Sony's report?

OT: Amazing sales, only could look bad just because the original goal was very high. 17 million forecast is very good 

Sony releases their earnings 3:15 AM EST 2/1 about 17 hours

Thank you! 



Zombie9ers said:
RaptorChrist said:

Sad, but probably true.

Especially when PS5 / Nextbox launch

However if it still manages 10-11 million in 2021 think it will be not as of huge concern to them. Remember Switch originally was labeled to do 8-10 million only in the first year. 



 

Good numbers



RaptorChrist said:
gemini_d@rk said:
Taking into account the rapid life cycles of nintendo consoles, we will see the peak between this year and next year, and then begin the falls.

Sad, but probably true.

Not true actually. Or at least not entirely.......

It depends on which nintendo consoles you are looking at. NDS had a run f about 7yrs before it was replaced by the N3DS which hasn't been officially replaced till this day. 

However, the NS peaking in its 3rd or 4th year is inline with conventional ($250-$399) consoles and is not due to some sort of "false" nintendo short life span. Every successful nintendo console has been in primary circulation for at least 6yrs. 



How does the calendar year shipments for 2017 match up with 2018?



Megiddo said:
How does the calendar year shipments for 2017 match up with 2018?

2017-14.86

2018-17.42



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

zorg1000 said:
Megiddo said:
How does the calendar year shipments for 2017 match up with 2018?

2017-14.86

2018-17.42

Very solid increase, thanks for the numbers.



Great numbers and aligned with my prediction around April.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

Train wreck said:
Farsala said:

Forecasts have much more to do with production imo, as well as their book keeping. They only plan to produce and ship 2.5m more for the rest of their FY. They won't manufacture significantly more or less than 17m. That means if sales all of a sudden skyrocketed to the point that they would need to produce 19-21m, we would see major stock problems.

I'm going to steal this and post it in the weekly Media Create threads to kind of remind people why the PS4 is selling the way it is.

I think the major price cut during the holidays in Japan was also a way to meet their shipment goals. USA was on track with their manufacturing and shipments projections so they avoided the price cut in December.