I'm expecting Wii levels, around 12-13 millions. That's good for a traditional home console.

Yes!!! You're right!!!

Switch is going to destroy everything this year if Pokemon mainline game doesn't look like an ass like Pokemon Let's Go.

10-11m LTD in 2019 and closer to 20m at the final LTD

10-11m end of 2019 isnt very ambitious, all that requires is 2017/2018 level sales.

2017, 3.3m

2018, 3.5m/6.8m

2019, 3.2-4.2m/10-11m

I'm not saying that's wrong but "destroy everything" to me sounds like sales will explode, not slight decline-moderate increase.

Judging by how dramatically sales of 3ds, Vita, etc fell in the region, I don't think it will reach it. We shall see though. But this year required Monhun and dramatic sales and piece drops to get the PS4 there. The PS4 is running out of ammo in Japan.

I'm gonna say 13 mil minimum with the possibility of 14 mil. Next year Vita goes away, 3ds falls further and PS4 is out of things to pull sales from, so NS will have the Japanese theatre all to itself. Combine that with Pokémon and animal crossing and I think it may very well do 5mil or even 6mil+

Where's the topic comparing 2018 and 2017 sales in Japan? Will someone create one for 2018x2019?

Ya that's not happening, that would be 6.2-7.2 million

Switch is going to be closer to 2017 and 2018 than exploding to DS levels. I expect 3'5-4'0M again this year. Software though, it will go trough the roof for Switch exclusives.

Anyone who was saying sony needed to cut the price of the console in order to sell exactly like during the promotion period wasn't looking at the whole picture here.
During the promotion period = $50 price cut + 2 free games(including recent titles like Spiderman and GOW) = more than $100.

I don't think Sony is stupid enough to cut the price nearly over $100 in order to maintain the momentum in 2019. $50 permanent price cut is possible in 2018 but it's hardly going to replicate the same number of what current deal able to pull off without 2 free games.

Well,  selling nearly 2-3m more than your nearest competition console combined with all platforms together is still fit in the definition of destroying everything.