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Forums - Sales Discussion - WW December 2018 predictions

Intrinsic said:
PS4-3M
XBO-1.3M
NSW- 5.3M

Thats what I am expecting. Especially considerring cyber monday isn't part of december this year.

Cyber Monday is still a part of December according to VGChartz. The January 2018 NPD was 5 weeks long, while VGChartz kept it at 4 weeks. This means that for the rest of the year, VGChartz months are shifted one week back when compared to NPD.

Last edited by StarDoor - on 15 December 2018

zorg1000 said:
chakkra said:

You might wanna re-check those numbers

It's what this site has, with NPD leaks coming out it looks like it's due for some adjustments.

Hmm.. so the X1 sold 1.67 WW and 1.34m of those was in U.S. alone...

That would live us with ~330k  for the rest of the world.  And we already know that it sold close to 90K in BF week in UK alone.

Which would live us with ~240K for the other three weeks in UK (and 4 weeks for the rest of the world).

Am I really the only one who find this to be HIGHLY unlikely?



chakkra said:
zorg1000 said:

It's what this site has, with NPD leaks coming out it looks like it's due for some adjustments.

Hmm.. so the X1 sold 1.67 WW and 1.34m of those was in U.S. alone...

That would live us with ~330k  for the rest of the world.  And we already know that it sold close to 90K in BF week in UK alone.

Which would live us with ~240K for the other three weeks in UK (and 4 weeks for the rest of the world).

Am I really the only one who find this to be HIGHLY unlikely?

Like I said, it's probably due for some adjustments



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

5'2M for NS -> 16'2M end of the year
3'7M for PS4 -> 18'0M end of the year
1'5M for XBO -> 7'1M end of the year



Seems like Switch will win another December, but will still end lower accumulated year.

And PS4 and X1 will be considerably down versus Switch almost certainly up.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DonFerrari said:
Seems like Switch will win another December, but will still end lower accumulated year.

And PS4 and X1 will be considerably down versus Switch almost certainly up.

Yup. The PS4 and X1 are past their peaks. Next year will be worse for them. 

They had a great run. Especially the PS4. Which should still clear 100M easy and probably be at like 110M by the time the PS5 is released. Well, depending on if the PS5 comes in march 2020 or november 2020.



Intrinsic said:
DonFerrari said:
Seems like Switch will win another December, but will still end lower accumulated year.

And PS4 and X1 will be considerably down versus Switch almost certainly up.

Yup. The PS4 and X1 are past their peaks. Next year will be worse for them. 

They had a great run. Especially the PS4. Which should still clear 100M easy and probably be at like 110M by the time the PS5 is released. Well, depending on if the PS5 comes in march 2020 or november 2020.

And still PS4 is outdoing Sony projections so price cuts are still unlikely. Xbox we can't say much because they never say how much they want to sell and ended up selling, and they also reduced their aggresiviness on price cuts.

We are on that time of a gen that probably next year all talk on the leading sales for most weeks will be Switch. And we start gearing up to next gen. 



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."

DonFerrari said:
Intrinsic said:

Yup. The PS4 and X1 are past their peaks. Next year will be worse for them. 

They had a great run. Especially the PS4. Which should still clear 100M easy and probably be at like 110M by the time the PS5 is released. Well, depending on if the PS5 comes in march 2020 or november 2020.

And still PS4 is outdoing Sony projections so price cuts are still unlikely. Xbox we can't say much because they never say how much they want to sell and ended up selling, and they also reduced their aggresiviness on price cuts.

We are on that time of a gen that probably next year all talk on the leading sales for most weeks will be Switch. And we start gearing up to next gen. 

I hope they don’t make the same mistake as last gen and refuse to cut price.  PS3 could have reached well beyond its final sales if it had been $200 for the last year or two of its life



I am Iron Man

PS4- 3.1m
XBO- 1.6m
SW- 4m



Robert_Downey_Jr. said:
DonFerrari said:

And still PS4 is outdoing Sony projections so price cuts are still unlikely. Xbox we can't say much because they never say how much they want to sell and ended up selling, and they also reduced their aggresiviness on price cuts.

We are on that time of a gen that probably next year all talk on the leading sales for most weeks will be Switch. And we start gearing up to next gen. 

I hope they don’t make the same mistake as last gen and refuse to cut price.  PS3 could have reached well beyond its final sales if it had been $200 for the last year or two of its life

Well if the cut makes the total profit lower there is no point in doing it.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."