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PS4 Won October NPD (PS4 > NS > XBO)

Forums - Sales Discussion - PS4 Won October NPD (PS4 > NS > XBO)

Channel stuffing can be even more problematic for Nintendo than not hitting their forecast.



Mr.GameCrazy said:
Barkley said:

Ocotber NPD didn't end till November 4th.

Oh. Whoops. Didn't know that.

Oops, November 3rd actually! :p

NPD October 2018 retail period (October 7-November 3, 2018) 

So Smash Bundle should have had 2 days of tracking, Release day (Nov 2nd) and Second day (Nov 3rd)



Predictions (Made July 2019)

LTD: PS4 - 130m, Switch - 110m, XBO - 52m       2019 : PS4 - 15m, Switch - 18.8m, XBO - 4.8m        2020: Switch - 22m (Peak Year)

Barkley said:
Mr.GameCrazy said:

Oh. Whoops. Didn't know that.

Oops, November 3rd actually! :p

NPD October 2018 retail period (October 7-November 3, 2018) 

So Smash Bundle should have had 2 days of tracking, Release day (Nov 2nd) and Second day (Nov 3rd)

Thanks for letting me know. :)



Barkley said:
Megiddo said:

Switch needs an enormously strong fiscal Q3 to come anywhere even close to Nintendo's bold forecast. This isn't exactly the best way to start that, particularly since these October numbers include the Smash Ultimate bundle. Being down YoY when last year was hindered by stock shortages for the Switch isn't something that should be made light of.

I wasn't sure if the Smash Bundle would do very well or not, but I guess this confirms it. Bundling with a Digital Code that you can't use for over a month isn't going to pull many people in I guess. It was an odd decision. It'll probably do a lot better once Smash is ACTUALLY out.

 

Megiddo said:
Mr.GameCrazy said: 

Wait a second. The Switch sold 12% less than last October!? It's losing momentum, guyz!!

Switch needs an enormously strong fiscal Q3 to come anywhere even close to Nintendo's bold forecast. This isn't exactly the best way to start that, particularly since these October numbers include the Smash Ultimate bundle. Being down YoY when last year was hindered by stock shortages for the Switch isn't something that should be made light of.

Last year had Mario Odyssey and stock issues were mostly solved by September.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Very good PS4 lead and impressive X1 increase YOY.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Mr.GameCrazy said:

Wait a second. The Switch sold 12% less than last October!? It's losing momentum, guyz!!

Where is Mr. Cliff when we need him?



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Wow very nice for the PS4! Still selling like crazy....looks like VGC was correct with the order it had for sales. I am really ready to see what Nov will look like now. Switch not bad but could definitely be a lot better. Xb1 up YOY so that is cool. All in all a good month for the big 3.



The absence of evidence is NOT the evidence of absence...

PSN: StlUzumaki23

DonFerrari said:
Mr.GameCrazy said:

Wait a second. The Switch sold 12% less than last October!? It's losing momentum, guyz!!

Where is Mr. Cliff when we need him?

Banned



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.

Prediction tool:
1 - NS : 1.0
2 - PS4 : 0.26
3 - XBO : 0.24


*edit:
1 - NS : 1.0
2 - XBO :  0.78
3 - PS4 : 0.66

 

What actually happend:
1 - PS4: 1.34
2 - Switch: 1
3 - Xbox One: 0.83


This month the prediction tools where waaaaaay off the mark.

 

also this:

 

PS4 might take november too.

Last edited by JRPGfan - on 20 November 2018

Everyone expecting Swith to obliterate PS4 this holiday season because what happened in December last year.....,are understimating PS4 again..., like always. Last year was last year, it had fewer stock and their main bundle was the failure Battlefront II was, XB X just launched and it was the first holiday for Breath of the Wild, Mario Kart 8 DX and Mario Odyssey. Now PS4 have RDR 2, COD BOPS 4, Spiderman, GOW, ....and it seems there is a lot more stock.

In my opinion PS4 is bound to have a record November NPD possibly around 2M sales, probably selling aroun 500k more than Switch that month and in December I expect PS4 way up YOY, so yes, Switch will win December because Smash and Pokemon but the difference won't be enough to surpass PS4. I won't be surprised if PS4 ends selling more NOV+DEC combined than Switch...

 

 

edit: And by the way, Switch won't reach 20M, not even close....Switch is no Wii. If it ends with 17M it will be a success.

Last edited by colafitte - on 20 November 2018