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Forums - Gaming Discussion - When, If At All, Do You Think the Switch Will Overtake the Xbox One in Console Sales?

 

When, If At All, Do You Think the Switch Will Overtake the Xbox One in Console Sales?

Before the end of 2018 57 4.85%
 
Q1 or Q2 of 2019 126 10.71%
 
Q3 or Q4 of 2019 385 32.74%
 
Q1 or Q2 of 2020 209 17.77%
 
Q3 or Q4 of 2020 169 14.37%
 
Q1 or Q2 of 2021 42 3.57%
 
Q3 or Q4 of 2021 28 2.38%
 
2022 31 2.64%
 
2023 or Later 22 1.87%
 
Never 107 9.10%
 
Total:1,176
AJNShelton on 11 July 2018
Barkley said:
SKMBlake said:
I think Xbox One sales will reach 45 millions by the end of 2019 (40 millions by the end of the year, and 5 more millions next year) and I think Switch will be close to 30 millions by the end of the year, so I see it close to 47 millions by the end of 2019.

40m by the end of 2018 is much too low for XBO. They would need to sell just 2.1m from June 23rd to December 31st... that same period last year they sold 5.42m.

Do you really expect them to sell as many as last year ? I don't see them selling more than 3 millions by the end of the year



Finale on 11 July 2018

Early next year is my guess.Something between march-may.



Barkley on 11 July 2018
SKMBlake said:
Barkley said:

40m by the end of 2018 is much too low for XBO. They would need to sell just 2.1m from June 23rd to December 31st... that same period last year they sold 5.42m.

Do you really expect them to sell as many as last year ? I don't see them selling more than 3 millions by the end of the year

They're selling more than last year so far. If they can sell 2.2m in the first 6 months they can definitely sell more than 3m in the next 6 months which include the holiday season.



Bofferbrauer2 on 11 July 2018

Didn't we have such a thread before already?

Anyway, I'd say late next year, XBO is doing too well to beat it earlier. There's a chance it would slip into 2020, but the games we already know for next year (mainline Pokémon, mainline Fire Emblem and Yoshi already confirmed) are promising enough for me to think Switch can do 20M in 2019, too



The Nintendo eShop rating Thread: http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=237454 List as Google Doc:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1aW2hXQT1TheElVS7z-F3pP-7nbqdrDqWNTxl6JoJWBY/edit?usp=sharing

The Steam/GOG key gifting thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/242024/the-steamgog-key-gifting-thread/1/ 

Free Pc Games thread: https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread/248138/free-pc-games/1/

Ljink96 on 11 July 2018

Q4 2019, for those saying never...how well done do you like your crow?



PAOerfulone on 11 July 2018

Sometime between Q3-Q4 2019.



Hardware Comparison Threads:

Current Thread

Is Hardware Getting TOO Powerful?

Older Threads:

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch: 2022 Edition

PlayStation/Xbox/Switch Hardware Battle: 2021 Edition!
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2019 vs. 2020
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2018 vs. 2019
PlayStation 4/Xbox One/Nintendo Switch: 2017 vs. 2018
PlayStation 4: 2015 vs. 2016 vs. 2017

melbye on 11 July 2018

Probably late 2019



eva01beserk on 11 July 2018

I would say early next year. I actually belive when they said they havent anounced everything coming this year for the switch. While for MS they basicly said nothing is coming for a while and will be as barren as the last 2 years have been until the next box comes out in 2020. So i expect NS to rise after the anouncements while the xbox will drop soon.



It takes genuine talent to see greatness in yourself despite your absence of genuine talent.

VAMatt on 11 July 2018
eva01beserk said:
I would say early next year. I actually belive when they said they havent anounced everything coming this year for the switch. While for MS they basicly said nothing is coming for a while and will be as barren as the last 2 years have been until the next box comes out in 2020. So i expect NS to rise after the anouncements while the xbox will drop soon.

When did MS say a new system is coming in 2020?



Nautilus on 11 July 2018

By the end of 2019 it should do it.If we are talking shipment units for the Switch, probably even earlier.(I mean, using Nintendo official numbers, not VGCs)



My (locked) thread about how difficulty should be a decision for the developers, not the gamers.

https://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=241866&page=1