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Forums - Nintendo Discussion - How many million sellers will the Switch have in its second year?

 

How many million sellers will the Switch have in its second year?

1-2 6 6.90%
 
3-4 6 6.90%
 
5-6. 10 11.49%
 
7-8 10 11.49%
 
9-10 15 17.24%
 
More than 10 million sellers. 40 45.98%
 
Total:87
Darwinianevolution on 01 June 2018
Barkley said:
Darwinianevolution said:
http://www.nintendolife.com/news/2018/06/pokemon_quest_has_already_been_downloaded_over_one_million_times_on_switch

So, even though it's a Free to Play, Pokemon Quest has reached the million downloads, so it gets added to the list. Though I won't add it to the final count, since it's not technically "sold".

Yeah... it really doesn't belong on a list of Million Sellers.

I wouldn't include it on the list you have either, because it isn't a million seller.

Some people like to count them alongside the rest, so just in case, I'll acknowledge it being downloaded 1m times, but it's not been sold, so it can't be taken into account into the final list.



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Mcube on 06 June 2018
CrazyGamer2017 said:
MasonADC said:

1.This isn't what the OP is asking.

2. What about smash, pokemon, animal crossing, or 2d Mario. I would be surprised if Metroid Prime 4 can reach 4 million units.

Oh shit you're right, I totally misconstrued the OP's post. Not sure why I thought this was about the Switch's sales this second year LOL.

As for your second point: I agree with a second Mario but I did not hear a second Mario game announced so to me MP4 is the only big gun left coming for sure and I don't see Smash, Pokemon or Animal Crossing as big guns. They are important games but I consider Mario/Metroid Prime/Zelda to be the biggest guns.

Smash and Pokemon are two of the most well known gaming franchises out there how are those not big guns? They for sure are better known then Metroid. 



Darwinianevolution on 13 June 2018

According to this article http://www.ign.com/articles/2018/06/13/e3-2018-fortnite-on-nintendo-switch-has-been-downloaded-2-million-times-in-its-first-day?abthid=5b2161932ac0c32036000143 , Fortnite has been downloaded on the Swith over 2m times. So, just like Pokemon Quest, it gets added to the list but as Free to Play, and won't be taken into account in the final million seller list.



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Nautilus on 13 June 2018

I think its safe to say that at the very least Smash 5, Pokemon, Super Mario Party and Octopath Traveler will be million sellers.Other than that, I think that Starlick has a chance if it ends up being great, Crash also has a chance, and Overcooked 2 given the success of the first one on the Switch.Those are the ones that come to the top of my head now.



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gustave154 on 03 July 2018

I can see hollow knight selling 1 million in the long run too



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Darwinianevolution on 31 July 2018

http://www.nintendolife.com/news/2018/07/nintendo_releases_complete_sales_figures_for_its_million-selling_switch_games

According to Nintendo, Mario Tennis Ace, Donkey Kong Tropical freeze and the combined sales of Nintendo Labo have passed the million mark, so they get added to the list.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

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Ulternia on 01 August 2018

 

Ulternia said:
I’ll be optimistic and guess 18. Skyrim, Yokai Watch 4, Smash, Kirby, Yoshi, FIFA, Wolfenstein II, DOOM, MARIO Tennis, Labo, Octopath Traveler, Animal Crossing, Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze, Dark Souls Remastered and then maybe three or four more unannounced games.

Welp, I’m getting there. FIFA 18 and Skyrim are definitely there (920k and 930k, respectively, for physical only). Mario Tennis, Labo, Octopath Traveler, Kirby and DKC:TF are all already above 1M (or at least I’m assuming). I’ll probably miss DOOM, Wolfenstein II, Dark Souls Remastered, Animal Crossing and Yokai Watch 4 with my prediction, but all in all, I’m still sticking by 18.



Bofferbrauer2 on 01 August 2018

By this point 10+ is a very safe bet I'd say



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Darwinianevolution on 02 August 2018
Ulternia said:

 

Ulternia said:
I’ll be optimistic and guess 18. Skyrim, Yokai Watch 4, Smash, Kirby, Yoshi, FIFA, Wolfenstein II, DOOM, MARIO Tennis, Labo, Octopath Traveler, Animal Crossing, Donkey Kong Tropical Freeze, Dark Souls Remastered and then maybe three or four more unannounced games.

Welp, I’m getting there. FIFA 18 and Skyrim are definitely there (920k and 930k, respectively, for physical only). Mario Tennis, Labo, Octopath Traveler, Kirby and DKC:TF are all already above 1M (or at least I’m assuming). I’ll probably miss DOOM, Wolfenstein II, Dark Souls Remastered, Animal Crossing and Yokai Watch 4 with my prediction, but all in all, I’m still sticking by 18.

Mario Aces, Kirby, Labo and Tropical Freeze are confirmed to reach the million in both formats. Octopath is still quite far away from it, the last numbers we had were Japan only, and that was barely above 110k. Doom is still selling slowly, though it could reach the million eventually. If Youkai Watch and AC release this this year, they'll reach the million no doubt.



You know it deserves the GOTY.

Come join The 2018 Obscure Game Monthly Review Thread.

polofresco on 03 August 2018

Now we can add Octopath Traveler!