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August 2016 NPD Thread! Hardware and software estimates up!

Forums - Sales Discussion - August 2016 NPD Thread! Hardware and software estimates up!

Bandorr said:
barneystinson69 said:

Cant believe this hasnt been posted: https://mobile.twitter.com/AstronautClaire/status/776303077968207872

 

And this: https://mobile.twitter.com/AstronautClaire/status/776303548099420160

 

Wii U... https://mobile.twitter.com/AstronautClaire/status/776306588802056192

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8067489

Me either I can't believe it wasn't posted 12 hours ago...

Thread hasnt been updated, so yeah...



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

So release of the XboxOne S and only a 114k lead? Not looking too good going into the holidays.



Lawlight said:
So release of the XboxOne S and only a 114k lead? Not looking too good going into the holidays.

Only?



Made a bet with LipeJJ and HylianYoshi that the XB1 will reach 30 million before Wii U reaches 15 million. Loser has to get avatar picked by winner for 6 months (or if I lose, either 6 months avatar control for both Lipe and Hylian, or my patrick avatar comes back forever).

Lawlight said:
So release of the XboxOne S and only a 114k lead? Not looking too good going into the holidays.

Maybe I've been gone for too long but that seems like a huge lead..



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion

Was there any big release in the last August ? 2015's August



Swordmasterman said:
Was there any big release in the last August ? 2015's August

It might have been Madden



Ltd predictions by the time 9th Gen comes out

Ps4:110million

Xbox one :75 million( was 65) 

Wii u: 20 milliion

poklane said:
Aqua is on Twitter now apparently https://twitter.com/AstronautClaire
XB1 = 274.800
PS4 = 160.000
Wii U = 22.800
No Man's Sky = 508.000 (retail)
Madden NFL 17 = 933.000 (of which 16.000 with bundles, retail)
Deus Ex = 120.000
50k-100k = Overwatch, CoD (minus the bundles), NBA 2K16, FIFA 16, MLB The Show 16 (just below)
Black Ops 3 = 197k with bundles, 61k without bundles
No Nintendo game hit 50k besides Pokemon
Around 100K for Pokemon Alpha Sapphire and Omega Ruby

Lol, is Deus Ex = 120.000 a flop ?



kinisking said:
Lawlight said:
So release of the XboxOne S and only a 114k lead? Not looking too good going into the holidays.

Maybe I've been gone for too long but that seems like a huge lead..

Not when you consider the low PS4 sales and with how much fanfare the XBoxOneSlim launched with.



kinisking said:
Lawlight said:
So release of the XboxOne S and only a 114k lead? Not looking too good going into the holidays.

Maybe I've been gone for too long but that seems like a huge lead..

The lead is good.  However, when looking at the total consoles sold, it's a little disappointing.  XBO had preorders for a new Slim model and they were clearing out old stock at discounted prices.  Most people were predicting 300K+, with some at 350K-400K.  Interestingly, I was spot on with my 275K prediction.  But yea, that's lower than most predicted. 

I suppose in the end it doesn't really matter.  In Nov, the PS4 is going to wipe away any gains the XBO made this year.



Lawlight said:
So release of the XboxOne S and only a 114k lead? Not looking too good going into the holidays.

They're decent numbers. Not as great as the 360's were when its own slimline model came out, but still good. The real test will be the coming months. The 360's best sales period was the 22 months from June 2010 to March 2012. If the XBO cannot sustain a baseline in 2017 stronger than its previous baseline, then there's a reason to worry. At minimum, I think the XBO needs to consistently sell at least 25% more units throughout the Jan.-Aug. period for the XBO S to have been considered a success. If YoY growth is modest, and especially if it starts to taper off by mid-year to where sales are flat YoY, the the XBO S can probably be said to have only kept sales stable, and that's not what I'd call "successful" for a slimline model.