Right then. Time for my "How has VGC been doing in their predicting" post :)
Remember these are not opinion/not criticism, nothing more then pointing out which side of the fence they sometimes come down on!
So for the past 12 months it has been as follows!
March 2010
360 - Overtracked
PS3 - Overtracked
Wii - Overtracked
feb 2010
ps3 - undertracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked
jan 2010
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked
dec 2009
ps3 - undertracked
360 - overtracked
wii - undertracked
nov 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - undertracked
oct 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - overtracked
wii - overtracked
sept 2009
ps3 - undertracked
360 - undertracked
wii - undertracked
august 2009
ps3 - undertracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked
july 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked
june 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked
may 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked
april 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - overtracked
wii - overtracked
based on past 12 months
PS3 overtracked 8 out of 12 months. = 66% chance of overtracking
360 overtracked 4 out of 12 months = 33% chance of overtracking
wii overtracked 9 of 12 months = 75% chance of overtracking.
ps3 undertracked 4 of 12 months = 33% chance of undertracking
360 undertracked 8 of 12 months = 66% chance of undertracking
wii undertracked 3 of 12 months = 25% chance of undertracking
making 360 twice as likely to be undertracked then the other two consoles
and making PS3 and Wii twice as likely to be overtracked then the 360.
Personally this month i got a feeling PS3 might have outsold 360. It had huge momentum and some good games at the end of the previous month. Either way if 360 does stay ahead of it i doubt it will be by very much.