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The Official April 2010 NPD Thread (Data for 4 wks ending May 2 in 3 hours)

Forums - Sales Discussion - The Official April 2010 NPD Thread (Data for 4 wks ending May 2 in 3 hours)

Right then. Time for my "How has VGC been doing in their predicting" post :)

Remember these are not opinion/not criticism, nothing more then pointing out which side of the fence they sometimes come down on!

So for the past 12 months it has been as follows!

March 2010
360 - Overtracked
PS3 - Overtracked
Wii - Overtracked

feb 2010
ps3 - undertracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

jan 2010
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked


dec 2009
ps3 - undertracked
360 - overtracked
wii - undertracked


nov 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - undertracked


oct 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - overtracked
wii - overtracked


sept 2009
ps3 - undertracked
360 - undertracked
wii - undertracked

august 2009
ps3 - undertracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

july 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

june 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

may 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - undertracked
wii - overtracked

april 2009
ps3 - overtracked
360 - overtracked
wii - overtracked


based on past 12 months
PS3 overtracked 8 out of 12 months. = 66% chance of overtracking
360 overtracked 4 out of 12 months = 33% chance of overtracking
wii overtracked 9 of 12 months = 75% chance of overtracking.


ps3 undertracked 4 of 12 months = 33% chance of undertracking
360 undertracked 8 of 12 months = 66% chance of undertracking
wii undertracked 3 of 12 months = 25% chance of undertracking

making 360 twice as likely to be undertracked then the other two consoles
and making PS3 and Wii twice as likely to be overtracked then the 360.

Personally this month i got a feeling PS3 might have outsold 360. It had huge momentum and some good games at the end of the previous month. Either way if 360 does stay ahead of it i doubt it will be by very much.



Very slow sales month in April, Wii sells just 277K, Xbox 360 at 185k, PS3 at 180k - GK Twitter



I predict meltdowns.

Anyways, I'll do a random prediction:

X360 - on spot

Wii - on spot

PS3 - undertracked

DS - undertracked

PSP - on spot

PS2 - undertracked

 

Edit - oh crap. Anyways the last three predictions were still valid atop.



 

 

 

 

 

Low sales indeed.



Very slow sales month in April, Wii sells just 277K, Xbox 360 at 185k, PS3 at 180k

http://twitter.com/geoffkeighley

Edit: Beaten.



any idea on software?



 nintendo fanboy, but the good kind

proud soldier of nintopia

 

That's a disaster for Wii.



A game I'm developing with some friends:

www.xnagg.com/zombieasteroids/publish.htm

It is largely a technical exercise but feedback is appreciated.

Taking out a margin of error of 10%, you'll have PS3 overtracked 8k, X360 overtracked 25K, Wii overtracked 47k.



 

 

 

 

 

apparently they aren't going to give software numbers this time.

edit: thats oviously wrong though given the post below me lol.

edit2: Oh I read it wrong. They are only giving top 5 numbers is what it said.



PlayStation 3 180.8K
PSP 65.5K
Xbox 360 185.4K
Wii 277.2K
Nintendo DS 440.8K

TOM CLANCY’S SPLINTER CELL: CONVICTION* 360 UBISOFT Apr-10 486.1K 1
POKEMON SOULSILVER VERSION NDS NINTENDO OF AMERICA Mar-10 242.9K 2
NEW SUPER MARIO BROS. WII WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Nov-09 200.3K 3
POKEMON HEARTGOLD VERSION NDS NINTENDO OF AMERICA Mar-10 192.6K 4
GOD OF WAR III* PS3 SONY Mar-10 180.3K 5
WII SPORTS RESORT W/ WII MOTION PLUS* WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Jul-09 6
BATTLEFIELD: BAD COMPANY 2 360 ELECTRONIC ARTS Mar-10 7
WII FIT PLUS W/ BALANCE BOARD* WII NINTENDO OF AMERICA Oct-09 8
JUST DANCE WII UBISOFT Nov-09 9
SUPER STREET FIGHTER IV PS3 CAPCOM USA Apr-10 10