HylianSwordsman on 19 January 2020
Lets say Switch peaks this year, not all that higher than last year. Let's say to the end of 2020 it sells another 22 million. That's 72 million. Let's say it starts to drop, 18 million in 2021, that's 90 million. Then 10 million in 2022, for 100 million. That would put it passing Wii in early 2023, most likely, probably in the first quarter of Nintendo's fiscal year that year. I'd say that seems right to me, give or take a bit. I could see it selling 25 million this year, almost 20 million in 2021, and then outselling it sometime in 2022, or I could see it turn out to have peaked last year and it falls just short of the Wii, ending in the 90-100 million range. For now though, my vote is early 2023.
