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2D metroid = meh.
Traditional Paper Mario = WOW! (bout time, those silly sticker paper marios, or platforming ones = meh)

A insanely good paper mario game (something that nintendo hasnt done in forever), could actually be a system seller.

2D metroid wont do anything sales wise imo. Too many indie games, are already at 2D metroid level or better.
Thats just a fart in the wind. It ll mostly go unnoticed imo.  They would need to do a proper 3D prime metroid to get traction.