RexNovis said:
In an effort to spur some discussion ahead of each month's NPD results I make something I call "bold preditions" each month. These predictions are inteded to be controversial and debatable so as to encourage conversation. Here are my predictions for the month of May:
RexNovis' Bold Predictions
May 2016 Edition
- Overwatch will be outsold by Uncharted 4 at retail but Overwatch's WW total revenue including digital and microtransactions will not only exceed UC4 but also exceed that of Halo 5's initial reported HW, Accessory and Software revenue of $400 million by at least 1.5 times.
- Doom will rank in the top 4 for the month sell more than 2.5 times that of The Division which will rank in the bottom 3 for the month
- Uncharted 4 will sell less than 1 million copies at retail excluding bundles but manage to outsell Battleborn by more than 9 times.
- Doom will sell the most retail copies on XB1.
- Homefront will not only not rank bit will sell fewer than 50k copies and will sell less than half as many copies at retail as Battleborn.
- Ratchet and Clank, Minecraft, and The Division will all rank higher than Battleborn.
- PS4 will outsell XB1 by a margin of at least 70k units and will sell more than 6 times the number of units as WiiU
Curious as to all of your thoughts on these predictions and their likliehood.
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Not sure all of them are so bold
1. Agree
2. Agree
3. Agree
4. Closer margins then most but I expect something like 52-55 PS4%.
5. It did over 10k in UK and it is actually set in US, so some might find it more appealing. I expect it to be 8-10 regardless, 4 week months give it a better chance to chart.
6. Agree except for the Division. Legs seem pretty bad on that game.
7. 40k-60k margin is my prediction more then 6x Wii U for sure.