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RexNovis said:

In an effort to spur some discussion ahead of each month's NPD results I make something I call "bold preditions" each month. These predictions are inteded to be controversial and debatable so as to encourage conversation. Here are my predictions for the month of May:

RexNovis' Bold Predictions

May 2016 Edition


  1. Overwatch will be outsold by Uncharted 4 at retail but Overwatch's WW total revenue including digital and microtransactions will not only exceed UC4 but also exceed that of Halo 5's initial reported HW, Accessory and Software revenue of $400 million by at least 1.5 times.
  2. Doom will rank in the top 4 for the month sell more than 2.5 times that of The Division which will rank in the bottom 3 for the month
  3. Uncharted 4 will sell less than 1 million copies at retail excluding bundles but manage to outsell Battleborn by more than 9 times.
  4. Doom will sell the most retail copies on XB1.
  5. Homefront will not only not rank bit will sell fewer than 50k copies and will sell less than half as many copies at retail as Battleborn.
  6. Ratchet and Clank, Minecraft, and The Division will all rank higher than Battleborn.
  7. PS4 will outsell XB1 by a margin of at least 70k units and will sell more than 6 times the number of units as WiiU
Curious as to all of your thoughts on these predictions and their likliehood.


Not sure all of them are so bold

1. Agree

2. Agree

3. Agree

4. Closer margins then most but I expect something like 52-55 PS4%.

5. It did over 10k in UK and it is actually set in US, so some might find it more appealing. I expect it to be 8-10 regardless, 4 week months give it a better chance to chart.

6. Agree except for the Division. Legs seem pretty bad on that game.

7. 40k-60k margin is my prediction more then 6x Wii U for sure.