with a ten million console install base? nope. Probably the PS4 will have a 20 million install base when Uncharted 4 launches, so I guess it can do 4 million in the first year, with some luck. 6 million lifetime.
4 million between Nov 2015 and Nov 2016 "with some luck"? I needed my comedic fix for the evening!!
OT: 10 million may be a stretch, but 7-9 is a safe bet.