Shadow1980 said:
I'm not saying that there's anything wrong about making predictions. There is something wrong about stating them as matters of fact, though. I don't take any of my own predictions seriously, and I'll be the first to admit that I'm likely to be wrong. We're all likely to be wrong. It's all just pure guesswork. Sure, the PS4 is selling at around PS2 levels in NA and Europe right now, but there's no reason to think that'll always be the case. It could end up trending way behind the PS2, or it could exceed all expectations. The 3DS may have peaked in America, or it might just be in a brief lull and 2014 could do as well as 2013; it could behave like the PSP (but with better holiday performances) for all we know. The XBO could keep doing terribly in Europe, or it could rebound like the 360 did and narrow (but not close) the gap between itself and the PS4. The Vita, after performing terribly everywhere, is actually starting to do decently in Japan relatively speaking and could be up YoY for the second year in a row; it's still not doing great, but it's doing considerably less bad than most would have though a year ago. All the "Doom" and "Disaster" stuff is getting old fast. Same for any premature "Domination" rhetoric. Even as far as two or three years into a generation it can be too early to call. |
Shouldn't it be the other way around? If all trends point to one direction, it is more likely to continue heading into that direction.
